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Review articles on forecasting marine ecological systems

Other Marine Ecological Forecasts

Map of known examples of marine ecological nowcast and forecast products listed in the table below - details of these products are given for the corresponding number. Note that the Coral Reef Watch forecast product (number 9, blue circle) covers the globe between 45°N and 45°S (dotted blue box).

Key Product
Description

 Productivity

 1 Returns along US West Coast
(Inactive (?))
 ~1 year lead-time forecast based on an ensemble of observed ecosystem indicators combined using PCA and an empirical relationship between returns and environment indicators.

Spatial Distribution

2
Whalewatch
Distribution and numbers of blue whales in the California Current
Near-real time forecasts based on a habitat model employing remote sensing of SST, chlorophyll and SSHa standard deviation.
3

TurtleWatch
Spatial areas where there is a high risk of loggerhead turtle bycatch

Near-real time forecasts based on a habitat model employing remotely sensed SST.
 4

Distribution of southern bluefin tuna in the Great Australian Bight

Forecasts 0-3 months into the future based on a habitat model employing forecasted SST. 
 5 SE Australia long-line tuna fishery Forecasts 0-3 months into the future based on a habitat model employing forecasted SST.
 6 California Sardine distribution
Forecasts up to 5 months into the future based on an empirical habitat model coupled to dynamical biogeochemical downscaling of global forecast system

 Phenology (timing)

 7

Timing of Gulf of Maine lobster landings
(Discontinued in 2016)

Landings forecast based on observed temperatures 3–4 months prior
 8 Columbia river salmon run timing
Forecasts up to 3 months ahead, updated daily during run. Based on observations of ceanic upwelling, Columbia river flows, timing of juvenile arrival and an empirical regression model of timing.

 Other

9
Coral Reef Watch’s Heat Stress Outlook

Weekly and composite forecast up to 4 months; updated weekly. Based on global SST forecasts and an established relationship between the amount of accumulated heat stress and severity of coral bleaching


https://fishforecasts.dtu.dk/other-forecasts
27 MAY 2020